Shanghai Port U20 – Beijing Guoan U20

Model: TipTromba35H

Shanghai Port U20 vs Beijing Guoan U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 15, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 45d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanghai Port U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanghai Port U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current4.75Now
Max odds5.69Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanghai Port U20HOME
VS
Beijing Guoan U20AWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WLLWW
Avg goals scored
2.80
2.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
8.40
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.60
Home splitL-W-W3.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-W2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China U20 League. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.10
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Shanghai Port U20. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Shanghai Port U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -19.8% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -9.7% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Shanghai Port U20 – Beijing Guoan U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample159
Win Rate30.8%
Profit-5.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDag & Red - Boreham Wood3.203.85%
WINPersebaya Surabaya - Persija Jakarta3.253.56%
WINZulte-Waregem - Sparta Rotterdam3.003.85%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK BE13.103.85%
LOSSCarapegua - General Caballero JLM3.303.56%
WINAthlone Town (W) - Czarni Sosnowiec (W)3.002.17%
LOSSONS (W) - FC Honka (W)3.102.17%
LOSSCSD Flandria - Excursionistas3.003.85%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Caracas - Independiente Santa Fe13.003.85%31 Jul 02:30
Komeetat - JJK/213.302.05%31 Jul 18:00
KTS Weszlo - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki13.102.17%31 Jul 19:00
Colombia (W) - Mexico (W)13.003.85%01 Aug 01:00
Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Giu 15, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 45d ago
Updated
Updated 45d 14h ago
Torna in alto