Fraser Park – Bankstown United FC

Model: TIPPSH

Fraser Park vs Bankstown United FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 05, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 89d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 89d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fraser Park. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fraser ParkGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds2.86Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fraser ParkHOME
VS
Bankstown United FCAWAY
WDWWL
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
3.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.40
Shots on target for
12.67
0.33
SoT conceded pressure
2.33
0.67
Home splitW-W-W-W5.25 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Fraser Park has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -3.3% 7D: -14.3% 15D: -1.7% 30D: 11.4%
Model insight

Fraser Park – Bankstown United FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample325
Win Rate50.8%
Profit-6.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
WINSekhukhune United FC - Durban City1.883.37%
LOSSFeyenoord - Rayo Vallecano2.083.37%
WINAjax - Burnley2.043.37%
WINCD Universidad San Martin - Carlos Manucci2.103.37%
WINPonte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U201.813.37%
WINQueen's Park - Queen of South2.013.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 05, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 89d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 89d 11h ago
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