Fraser Park vs Bankstown United FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fraser Park. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Fraser ParkGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Fraser Park has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Fraser Park – Bankstown United FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana | 2.15 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano | 2.08 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ajax - Burnley | 2.04 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CD Universidad San Martin - Carlos Manucci | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |