Flamengo (W) – Ferroviaria (W)

Model: TipA1

Flamengo (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 2:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 61d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 66d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ferroviaria (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ferroviaria (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Flamengo (W)HOME
VS
Ferroviaria (W)AWAY
DLWL
Recent form
DWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.50
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.75
1.20
Shots on target for
5.50
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.50
4.20
Home splitD-W-L1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitD-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.39% based on n=969 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A1 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Ferroviaria (W). This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -48.9% 7D: -23.1% 15D: -11.5% 30D: 6.8%
Model insight

Flamengo (W) – Ferroviaria (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample136
Win Rate39.7%
Profit-0.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSABB U19 - CDT Real Oruro U192.634.27%
LOSSMarcilio Dias - Portuguesa Desportos2.454.27%
LOSSHPS - Reipas2.504.27%
WINOdd BK - Haugesund2.704.27%
LOSSSC Kalsdorf - FC Marchfeld Donauauen2.604.27%
WINGold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U232.504.27%
LOSSModbury Vista Reserves (W) - Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)2.504.27%
LOSSDefensores Unidos - Argentino Merlo2.384.27%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
CFD La Nororiental - Molino Viejo22.454.27%12 Jul 19:00
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 2:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 61d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 66d 11h ago
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