Model: TipTromba35H
Uniao Paraense FC – Independente PA
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 17d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.36% · n=211
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Uniao Paraense FC | Independente PA |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D | D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D (home) | D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.00 against | 5.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.06Now
Max odds3.06Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Uniao Paraense FC – Independente PA Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.36% across 211 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample68
Win Rate27.9%
Profit-8.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Hubei Istar | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Ballymun United - St Francis FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Wynnum Wolves U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC - Blacktown Spartans | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 28 May 17:00 |
| CF Os Belenenses - SC Farense | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 30 May 21:30 |
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.36% • n=211
Start
Started 17d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 18d ago