Aalesund – Molde

Model: TipTromba35H

Aalesund vs Molde

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.12
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 11, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 15h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aalesund. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aalesund

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AalesundHOME
VS
MoldeAWAY
WDDWW
Recent form
LLWWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.00
Shots on target for
6.40
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitD-W-D-D-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-D0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.12
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Aalesund shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Aalesund is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -36.8% 7D: 13.3% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Aalesund – Molde Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample134
Win Rate29.1%
Profit-11.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAguia de Maraba - ABC3.103.85%
WINMP II - HaPK3.002.17%
LOSSVejle - Randers FC3.253.56%
LOSSAS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin3.203.85%
LOSSShijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U203.003.85%
LOSSNykarleby IK - Sporting Kristina3.203.85%
LOSSSeacoast United Phantoms - Black Rock FC3.103.85%
LOSSStabaek (W) - Fortuna Aalesund (W)3.003.85%
Pick
1 @ 3.12
Kickoff
Lug 11, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Starts in 3d 15h
Updated
Updated 2m ago
Torna in alto