Aguia de Maraba vs ABC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aguia de Maraba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Aguia de MarabaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Aguia de Maraba as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Aguia de Maraba is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Aguia de Maraba – ABC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | MP II - HaPK | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Vejle - Randers FC | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | AS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Nykarleby IK - Sporting Kristina | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Seacoast United Phantoms - Black Rock FC | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Stabaek (W) - Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Club Atlético El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano | 3.00 | 3.85% |