MP II – HaPK

Model: TipTromba35H

MP II vs HaPK

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 03, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 8h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.17% · n=67
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.17% · n=67
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MP II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MP II

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.03First seen
Current3.05Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MP IIHOME
VS
HaPKAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
3.20
3.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.40
Shots on target for
8.60
9.33
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
12.33
Home splitW-W-L-L-L2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-W3.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.17% based on n=67 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.17% · n=67
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.17% · n=67
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 55.6% 7D: 37.0% 15D: 20.2% 30D: 6.1%
Model insight

MP II – HaPK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.17% and 2.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Lug 03, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.17% • n=67
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.17% • n=67
Start
Starts in 1d 8h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
Torna in alto