Salisbury United – Adelaide Atletico

Model: TIPPSA

Salisbury United vs Adelaide Atletico

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 9:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 64d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Adelaide Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Adelaide Atletico

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.51Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Salisbury UnitedHOME
VS
Adelaide AtleticoAWAY
LLLL
Recent form
WLWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.25
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.25
SoT conceded pressure
7.50
4.25
Home splitL-L-L1.33 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.51. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia South Australia State League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.51
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandLOWROI 0.40% · n=230
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -34.8% 7D: -14.0% 15D: -8.5% 30D: 6.2%
Model insight

Salisbury United – Adelaide Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample150
Win Rate42.0%
Profit+7.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.51
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 9:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 64d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 64d 13h ago
Torna in alto