Model: TIPPSA
Radnik Bijeljina – Zrinjski Mostar
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.52
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 17d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Radnik Bijeljina | Zrinjski Mostar |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-D-L | W-W-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-L-D (home) | W-L-W-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 4.20 against | 4.00 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.20 for / 3.80 against (home) | 3.60 for / 3.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Zrinjski Mostar. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Zrinjski Mostar is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds2.66Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Radnik Bijeljina – Zrinjski Mostar Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample138
Win Rate41.3%
Profit+4.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
| LOSS | Irtysh Pavlodar - FC Elimai Semey | 2.34 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.52
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 17d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 4h ago