Model: TipTromba35H

Boreham Wood vs Rochdale

PREDICTION

@ 3.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 10, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 86d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=283

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.19% · n=73

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 86d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Boreham Wood. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Boreham WoodGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.63First seen

Current3.35Now

Max odds3.68Highest point

Min odds2.45Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Boreham WoodHOME

RochdaleAWAY

DWWWW

Recent form

DWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.60

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

3.60

Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-D1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.33. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.19% based on n=73 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.33

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=283

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.19% · n=73

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Boreham Wood has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -48.9% 7D: -22.1% 15D: -10.5% 30D: 6.8%

Model insight

Boreham Wood – Rochdale Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 283 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.19% across 73 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample168

Win Rate27.4%

Profit-17.24u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa - MS Ashdod	3.30	4.14%
WIN	Hartlepool - Fleetwood Town	3.33	4.14%
WIN	Feyenoord - Atalanta	3.30	4.14%
WIN	Athletic Bilbao B - Cultural Leonesa	3.25	4.14%
LOSS	Itabirito U20 - Athletic Club MG U20	3.40	4.14%
LOSS	Coleraine - HJK Helsinki	3.40	3.56%
LOSS	Komeetat - JJK/2	3.30	2.05%
WIN	KTS Weszlo - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	3.10	2.17%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
La Nucia - CF Intercity	1	3.40	3.56%	05 Aug 19:30
Olaria AC - Nova Iguacu	1	3.20	3.85%	05 Aug 19:45
Dulwich Hill - Macarthur Rams	1	3.25	4.14%	08 Aug 09:00

Pick

1 @ 3.33

Kickoff

Mag 10, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=283

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.19% • n=73

Start

Started 86d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 86d 7h ago