Southampton – Middlesbrough

Model: TIPPSA

Southampton – Middlesbrough

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 14d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14d 13h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Southampton Middlesbrough
Last 5 form W-D-W-D-L L-D-D-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.60 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.00
Home/Away form W-D-D-W-W (home) L-D-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded 1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.20 for / 6.20 against 6.20 for / 2.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.80 for / 5.60 against (home) 6.33 for / 5.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Middlesbrough has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.95First seen
Current3.01Now
Max odds3.01Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Southampton – Middlesbrough Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.92% and 2.92%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-1.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCadiz - Leganes2.864.96%
LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy2.884.96%
LOSSDeportivo Cuenca - Tecnico Universitario3.252.94%
LOSSHuesca - Real Zaragoza3.152.92%
WINFinn Harps - Athlone Town3.192.92%
LOSSSolomon Kings FC - Vanuatu United2.802.92%
WINFK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MSK Zilina2.842.92%
LOSSNewcastle Jets - Adelaide United2.902.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.92% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.92% • n=29
Start
Started 14d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 14d 13h ago
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