Model: TipA1

Santos (W) vs Bragantino (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:00 AM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 55d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.72% · n=183

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.72% · n=183

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 58d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bragantino (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bragantino (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

72/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.64Now

Max odds2.65Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santos (W)HOME

Bragantino (W)AWAY

LDWLL

Recent form

WLLDW

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.00

Shots on target for

3.60

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

5.20

Home splitL-D-L-D0.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.72% based on n=183 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A1 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.60

V2 BandELITEROI 11.72% · n=183

V4 BandELITEROI 11.72% · n=183

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Bragantino (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Bragantino (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 2.8% 7D: -1.5% 15D: -11.9% 30D: -2.3%

Model insight

Santos (W) – Bragantino (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.72% and 11.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample20

Win Rate55.0%

Profit+8.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Parnu JK Vaprus - JK Tammeka Tartu	2.38	11.14%
LOSS	Milwaukee Torrent (W) - Bavarian United (W)	2.38	11.14%
WIN	Räppe GOIF - Staffanstorp United	2.50	11.14%
LOSS	CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Virginia USC	2.75	9.73%
WIN	Minnesota Bliss (W) - St Croix SC (W)	2.35	11.14%
WIN	Fremantle City FC (W) - Balcatta FC (W)	2.70	11.14%
WIN	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.80	9.73%
LOSS	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising FC	2.80	12.47%

Pick

2 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 1:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.72% • n=183

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.72% • n=183

Start

Started 55d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 58d 22h ago