Model: TipTromba35H
Athletico Paranaense – Flamengo
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 2:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=283
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Athletico Paranaense | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-L-D-W | D-L-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-D-W (home) | D-L-W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded | 0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 2.80 against | 5.20 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.40 for / 1.80 against (home) | 5.20 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Athletico Paranaense as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds3.30Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Athletico Paranaense – Flamengo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 283 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample92
Win Rate27.2%
Profit-9.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Minas Boca U20 - Betim FC U20 | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | KF Ferizaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC - Blacktown Spartans | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Real Santa Cruz - Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 3.40 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LePa - EIF Academy | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 27 May 19:15 |
| Naft Maysan - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 28 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 2:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=283
Start
Started 9d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 8h ago