National Bank – El Gounah

Model: TIPPSH

National Bank – El Gounah

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 12h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric National Bank El Gounah
Last 5 form D-L-D-W-W D-L-L-D-D
Avg goals scored 1.60 0.80
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.20
Home/Away form D-L-D-W-W (home) D-L-D-W-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Shots on target 5.20 for / 2.60 against 2.60 for / 4.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 2.00 against (home) 2.20 for / 3.40 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. National Bank has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate50.0%
Profit-0.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINKeflavik - Thor Akureyri1.826.72%
WINHenan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U202.046.72%
LOSSAntwerp - Standard Liege2.025.21%
WINAl-Ahli Doha U19 - Muaither SC U191.935.21%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik - Breidablik1.835.21%
LOSSPaysandu - Brusque1.955.21%
WINJaPS - Klubi-042.095.21%
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 9d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 12h ago
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