Model: TIPPSH

Antwerp vs Standard Liege

PREDICTION

@ 1.97

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 5

StartStarted 70d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 70d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Antwerp. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Antwerp

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current1.97Now

Max odds2.03Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AntwerpHOME

Standard LiegeAWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

WDLWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.20

Shots on target for

7.40

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

6.20

Home splitL-W-L1.00 scored / 2.33 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W2.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.97. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=76 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium First Division A (be). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.97

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Antwerp's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.6% 7D: -15.5% 15D: -4.2% 30D: 9.3%

Model insight

Antwerp – Standard Liege Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample14

Win Rate57.1%

Profit+1.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%

Pick

1 @ 1.97

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.21% • n=76

Start

Started 70d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 70d 7h ago