Model: TIPPSH

Jincheon HR vs Gijang United

PREDICTION

@ 1.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 07, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 45d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jincheon HR. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Jincheon HRGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.40First seen

Current1.90Now

Max odds1.90Highest point

Min odds1.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Jincheon HRHOME

Gijang UnitedAWAY

WLWWD

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.60

Shots on target for

6.20

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

6.00

Home splitW-W-W-L-W1.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-W1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K4 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.90

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Jincheon HR. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Jincheon HR has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -19.6% 7D: -14.1% 15D: -3.0% 30D: 13.1%

Model insight

Jincheon HR – Gijang United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample14

Win Rate64.3%

Profit+3.60u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gyeongnam FC - Ansan Greeners FC	1.78	6.72%
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%
LOSS	National Bank - El Gounah	1.76	5.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30

Pick

1 @ 1.90

Kickoff

Giu 07, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 45d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 8h ago