Model: TIPPSH

Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri

PREDICTION

@ 1.64

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 22, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 49d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keflavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Keflavik

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.85First seen

Current1.69Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.53Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KeflavikHOME

Thor AkureyriAWAY

WDWLW

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.80

Shots on target for

7.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

7.40

Home splitW-D-L-D0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.64

V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Keflavik, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Keflavik's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 18.0% 7D: 12.3% 15D: 13.8% 30D: 1.7%

Model insight

Keflavik – Thor Akureyri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample196

Win Rate58.2%

Profit-4.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	NWS Spirit FC - St George Saints	1.72	-9.89%
WIN	Njardvik - Grindavik	1.62	-7.35%
LOSS	Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1.62	-9.21%
WIN	Ferro Carril Oeste - CA San Telmo	1.67	-7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.64

Kickoff

Mag 22, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-10.11% • n=160

Start

Started 49d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 20h ago