Model: TIPPSA
Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 12d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Hobro IK | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-D-W-L | W-D-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L-L (home) | W-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 6.40 against | 6.40 for / 2.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 6.25 against (home) | 6.00 for / 3.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Aarhus Fremad shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aarhus Fremad's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.74Now
Max odds2.74Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate42.9%
Profit+1.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Stjarnan - Fram Reykjavik | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov | 2.69 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Charleroi - Genk | 2.58 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Slovan Sabinov - FC Kosice B | 2.64 | 1.92% |
| WIN | TIL 2020 Women - Viking FK (W) | 2.58 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen SV | 2.57 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Yokogawa Musashino FC - YSCC | 2.63 | 1.92% |
Pick
2 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178
Start
Started 12d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 14h ago