Model: TIPPSA

Erzgebirge Aue vs Wehen SV

PREDICTION

@ 2.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 25, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 78d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 78d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Wehen SV. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Wehen SV

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.69First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.69Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Erzgebirge AueHOME

Wehen SVAWAY

DDDLL

Recent form

DDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.80

Shots on target for

4.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

4.60

Home splitD-D-L2.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Away splitD-L-L1.00 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.33. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany 3. Liga (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.33

V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -5.3% 7D: 2.1% 15D: 6.9% 30D: 15.5%

Model insight

Erzgebirge Aue – Wehen SV Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample78

Win Rate42.3%

Profit-2.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	Lyn 1896 - Bryne	2.53	0.84%
LOSS	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	2.45	0.84%
LOSS	Nunawading - Keilor Park	2.25	0.84%
WIN	ZED FC - Wadi Degla	2.54	0.84%
WIN	Academia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin	2.35	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.33

Kickoff

Apr 25, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178

Start

Started 78d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 78d 13h ago