Bradford – Bolton

Model: TIPPSA

Bradford vs Bolton

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.73
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 58d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 58d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bolton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bolton

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.68First seen
Current2.73Now
Max odds2.82Highest point
Min odds2.66Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BradfordHOME
VS
BoltonAWAY
LLWDD
Recent form
WWLDD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
1.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
2.40
Home splitL-D-D-L-W0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.73. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 1 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.73
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandLOWROI 0.40% · n=230
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Bolton is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.5% 7D: 16.4% 15D: -3.9% 30D: -1.1%
Model insight

Bradford – Bolton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample93
Win Rate37.6%
Profit-0.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFencibles United - East Coast Bays2.814.96%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSDeportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers2.924.96%
WINNew Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)2.864.96%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.73
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 58d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 58d 18h ago
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