Model: TipA1
JK Nomme United II – FC Elva
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 10d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | JK Nomme United II | FC Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-D-L | L-W-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L (home) | L-D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.50 scored / 2.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 7.60 against | 6.60 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.67 for / 6.33 against (home) | 7.25 for / 6.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices FC Elva as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FC Elva has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.73Now
Max odds2.73Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
JK Nomme United II – FC Elva Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample76
Win Rate34.2%
Profit-9.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Phu Dong FC - Da Nang II | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Newmarket - Moggill | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Polonia Sroda Slaska - Prochowiczanka Prochowice | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Acao (W) - Sport Recife (W) | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Holland Park Hawks - Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 2.50 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 10d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 15h ago