Model: TipTromba5H
Inhumas – Aparecidense
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.68% · n=68
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.68% · n=68
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Inhumas | Aparecidense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-L-L | D-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-L-L (home) | D-D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 5.00 against | 5.00 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.25 for / 3.75 against (home) | 4.33 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.80First seen
Current4.75Now
Max odds4.80Highest point
Min odds4.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Inhumas – Aparecidense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.68% and -0.68%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-6.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Samgurali - FC Iberia 1999 | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Sportivo Trinidense Reserves - Deportivo Recoleta Reserves | 4.75 | -0.39% |
| LOSS | Brusque U20 - CRB U20 | 4.75 | -0.39% |
| LOSS | Creck SC - Mighty Wanderers | 4.75 | -0.68% |
| LOSS | Bray Wanderers U20 - Shamrock Rovers U20 | 4.75 | -0.39% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense U20 - Vitoria BA U20 | 4.75 | -2.50% |
| LOSS | Moravia (W) - CS Herediano (W) | 4.75 | -0.68% |
| LOSS | Lucky Mile - Citizen AA | 4.75 | -0.39% |
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.68% • n=68
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.68% • n=68
Start
Started 9d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 11h ago