Heerenveen – Ajax

Model: TIPPSA

Heerenveen – Ajax

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 9d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 11h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Heerenveen Ajax
Last 5 form D-L-W-W-L D-L-D-W-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.20 0.80
Home/Away form D-W-W (home) D-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.00 scored / 0.67 conceded 1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.20 for / 6.80 against 5.60 for / 3.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 8.33 for / 5.67 against (home) 6.00 for / 3.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ajax's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds2.07Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Heerenveen – Ajax Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample77
Win Rate51.9%
Profit+7.19u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINChengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic2.260.84%
LOSSNottm Forest - Bournemouth2.021.21%
LOSSUsti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B2.031.21%
LOSSPFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2.270.84%
WINBrondby - FC Copenhagen2.290.84%
LOSSQingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan2.061.21%
LOSSPuszcza Niepolomice - LKS Lodz2.150.58%
LOSSDynamo Makhachkala - Spartak Moscow2.180.58%
Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 9d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 11h ago
Torna in alto