Heerenveen – Ajax

Model: TIPPSA

Heerenveen – Ajax

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.09
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 23d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 20h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Heerenveen Ajax
Last 5 form D-L-W-W-L D-L-D-W-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.20 0.80
Home/Away form D-W-W (home) D-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.00 scored / 0.67 conceded 1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.20 for / 6.80 against 5.60 for / 3.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 8.33 for / 5.67 against (home) 6.00 for / 3.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Ajax is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 5.1% 7D: 13.5% 15D: 1.4% 30D: 1.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.06Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds2.01Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

Heerenveen – Ajax Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample79
Win Rate51.9%
Profit+6.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
LOSSOdense BK II (W) - BSF (W)2.021.76%
WINIshoj - VSK Arhus2.300.84%
WINCong An HCMC II - Ho Chi Minh City2.041.21%
WINChengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic2.260.84%
LOSSNottm Forest - Bournemouth2.021.21%
LOSSUsti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B2.031.21%
LOSSPFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2.270.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.09
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 23d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 20h ago
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