Nottm Forest – Bournemouth

Model: TIPPSA

Nottm Forest vs Bournemouth

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 66d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 66d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bournemouth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BournemouthGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds2.03Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nottm ForestHOME
VS
BournemouthAWAY
DLDLW
Recent form
DDWWD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.00
0.80
Shots on target for
4.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.20
Home splitD-D-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.12. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.12
V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 39.4% 7D: 36.5% 15D: 21.3% 30D: 9.2%
Model insight

Nottm Forest – Bournemouth Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample97
Win Rate54.6%
Profit+15.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAmazonas FC - Paysandu2.151.21%
LOSSNecaxa - Monterrey2.131.76%
WINDeportivo Binacional - Bentin Tacna Heroica2.121.21%
WINSD Raiders U20 - Marconi Stallions U202.131.21%
WINIndependiente Medellin (W) - Atletico Nacional (W)2.011.21%
WINTorpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK2.151.21%
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Hradec Kralove - Tromso22.111.21%30 Jul 19:00
Pick
2 @ 2.12
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.21% • n=228
Start
Started 66d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 66d 20h ago
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