Model: TIPPSA

Unam Pumas vs Pachuca

PREDICTION

@ 2.76

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 102d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 102d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pachuca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PachucaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.39First seen

Current2.90Now

Max odds3.39Highest point

Min odds2.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Unam PumasHOME

PachucaAWAY

WLDDW

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.60

Shots on target for

3.40

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

2.60

Home splitW-D-W-W2.75 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.76. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.31% based on n=124 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.76

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 27.7% 7D: 16.2% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 2.2%

Model insight

Unam Pumas – Pachuca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample26

Win Rate34.6%

Profit-0.44u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sambenedettese - Forli	2.90	7.70%
LOSS	Ararat Armenia - Shamrock Rovers	3.00	7.70%
LOSS	OLS - SalPa	2.84	7.70%
LOSS	FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems	2.82	7.70%
WIN	Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)	2.83	7.70%
LOSS	Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma	2.94	6.31%
LOSS	Madura United - Bali United	2.82	5.70%
LOSS	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3.00	6.31%

Pick

2 @ 2.76

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.31% • n=124

Start

Started 102d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 102d 13h ago