Model: TIPPSH
Aarhus Fremad – AaB
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 4d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Aarhus Fremad | AaB |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-W-L | L-D-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-W-W (home) | L-D-D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.60 scored / 0.60 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 2.20 against | 4.60 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.40 for / 2.40 against (home) | 5.20 for / 4.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Aarhus Fremad. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aarhus Fremad's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.24Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Aarhus Fremad – AaB Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample44
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+9.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Escobar FC - Independiente Chivilcoy | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | TPS U21 - FC Honka U21 | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Geoje Citizen FC - Gijang United | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Alvarado - Olimpo B Blanca | 2.23 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok - Al Kahrabaa | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 27 May 17:00 |
| Belgrano Reserves - Quilmes Reserves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 27 May 20:00 |
| FC Champagne Sport - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy II | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 27 May 20:00 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks | 1 | 2.37 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:00 |
| Fram Reykjavik - Breidablik | 1 | 2.32 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:15 |
| Avai - Criciuma | 1 | 2.35 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Manta FC - Club Atletico Libertad | 1 | 2.31 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 4d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 15h ago