Barra FC – Santa Cruz FC

Model: TIPPSH

Barra FC vs Santa Cruz FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 12, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 8h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Barra FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Barra FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Barra FCHOME
VS
Santa Cruz FCAWAY
WLDLD
Recent form
WWLWD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.60
Shots on target for
3.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
4.00
Home splitD-D-L-D-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W-L1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.28
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -30.6% 7D: -16.0% 15D: 26.8% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Barra FC – Santa Cruz FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample194
Win Rate47.4%
Profit+7.86u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINAmerica RJ - Serrano2.151.04%
LOSSOlaria AC - Bonsucesso FC2.191.04%
LOSSSt Polten - SK Artis Brno2.031.31%
LOSSFlamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U202.061.31%
LOSSAthletic Club MG - Operario PR2.491.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Lug 12, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 2d 8h
Updated
Updated 9h 15m ago
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