America RJ – Serrano

Model: TIPPSH

America RJ vs Serrano

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 4h 48m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is America RJ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: America RJ

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.97Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

America RJHOME
VS
SerranoAWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
LLLDD
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.20
Shots on target for
3.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.60
Home splitW-W-L-D-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-W1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.6% 7D: 56.0% 15D: 24.1% 30D: 10.4%
Model insight

America RJ – Serrano Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample258
Win Rate46.1%
Profit-7.98u
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LOSSLiaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U201.931.04%
WINAlmagro - Atletico Rafaela2.211.04%
LOSSPIF Parainen - EuPa1.901.04%
WINCA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves2.261.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 4h 48m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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