Argentino Merlo vs Argentino Quilmes
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Argentino Merlo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Argentino MerloValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Argentino Merlo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Argentino Merlo – Argentino Quilmes Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | America RJ - Serrano | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cobresal - Cobreloa | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | St Polten - SK Artis Brno | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 1 | 2.19 | 1.31% | 10 Jul 12:30 |
| Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 00:00 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 12:30 |
| Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 12:30 |
| Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 20:00 |
| Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1 | 1.89 | 1.31% | 12 Jul 01:00 |