KA Akureyri – Valur Reykjavik

Model: TIPPSH

KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 49d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.02% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.02% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KA Akureyri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KA Akureyri

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KA AkureyriHOME
VS
Valur ReykjavikAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.20
Shots on target for
4.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
8.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L2.25 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.02% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.28
V2 BandELITEROI 11.02% · n=29
V4 BandELITEROI 11.02% · n=29
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.9% 7D: 21.6% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 0.8%
Model insight

KA Akureyri – Valur Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.02% and 11.02%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate58.3%
Profit+4.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFarul Constanta - Otelul Galati2.308.94%
WINGreen Gully - Bentleigh Greens2.398.94%
WINMonterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC2.518.94%
WINFC Livyi Bereh - PFC Oleksandria2.258.94%
LOSSMyanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W)2.4511.02%
WINInstituto AC Cordoba - Lanus2.448.94%
LOSSCA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - River Plate (W)2.468.94%
WINSV Caiquetio - SV Brazil Juniors2.398.94%
Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 11.02% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
11.02% • n=29
Start
Started 49d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 20h ago
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