Aarhus Fremad vs AaB
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aarhus Fremad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Aarhus FremadValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Aarhus Fremad is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Aarhus Fremad – AaB Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nublense - O'Higgins | 2.39 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 2.19 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | America RJ - Serrano | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 04:00 |
| Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 16:00 |
| Figueirense - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 14 Jul 01:30 |