Model: TIPPSH

FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen

PREDICTION

@ 1.96

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 21, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 50d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Utrecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Utrecht

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.98First seen

Current1.96Now

Max odds1.98Highest point

Min odds1.95Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC UtrechtHOME

HeerenveenAWAY

WWWWL

Recent form

LDLWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

7.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

6.80

Home splitW-W-W-W2.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.96

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Utrecht a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Utrecht is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.3% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 1.0%

Model insight

FC Utrecht – Heerenveen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample330

Win Rate47.3%

Profit-22.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC	1.93	1.04%
LOSS	Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon	2.06	1.04%
LOSS	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC	2.10	1.04%

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Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn	1	1.95	1.04%	11 Jul 20:00
Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1	1.89	1.31%	12 Jul 01:00
Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	1	2.07	1.04%	12 Jul 04:00
GAIS - Elfsborg	1	1.95	1.04%	12 Jul 16:30
Figueirense - Volta Redonda	1	2.17	1.04%	14 Jul 01:30

Pick

1 @ 1.96

Kickoff

Mag 21, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 50d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 20h ago