Model: TIPPSH

Aarau vs Grasshoppers

PREDICTION

@ 2.67

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 53d 9h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aarau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aarau

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current2.67Now

Max odds2.80Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AarauHOME

GrasshoppersAWAY

DDWWW

Recent form

DWWLL

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

6.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

5.00

Home splitD-D-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.67. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League Play-Offs (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.67

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Aarau is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

Aarau – Grasshoppers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample46

Win Rate37.0%

Profit-2.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF	2.64	1.41%
WIN	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2.51	1.59%
LOSS	Athletic Club MG - Operario PR	2.49	1.59%
LOSS	FC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	CA Patrocinense - Uberaba	2.51	1.59%
WIN	Los Angeles FC II - Houston Dynamo II	2.72	1.59%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	2.58	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves	1	2.65	1.59%	30 May 16:00
Logan Lightning - Ipswich FC	1	2.72	1.41%	11 Jul 09:00

Pick

1 @ 2.67

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Started 53d 9h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 11h ago