Model: TIPPSH
Aarau – Grasshoppers
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 8d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Aarau | Grasshoppers |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-W | D-W-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-W-L (home) | D-W-L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 3.20 against | 3.60 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 4.40 against (home) | 3.75 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Aarau shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aarau's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.67Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Aarau – Grasshoppers Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+2.87u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yazaki Valente FC - Chukyo University | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Bavois - SC Cham | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yangpyeong FC - Gangneung City | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Albirex Niigata - Ehime FC | 2.65 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Rot-Weiss Essen - Greuther Furth | 2.65 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sarpsborg - Molde | 2.61 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Avai - Goias | 2.43 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.67
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.41% • n=109
Start
Started 8d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 8h ago