Brisbane Roar NPL vs Rochedale Rovers
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Brisbane Roar NPL. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Brisbane Roar NPLValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Brisbane Roar NPL – Rochedale Rovers Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Nublense - O'Higgins | 2.39 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF | 2.64 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers | 2.51 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Athletic Club MG - Operario PR | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | FC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Jeonbuk Motors - Gangwon FC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Logan Lightning - Ipswich FC | 1 | 2.72 | 1.41% | 11 Jul 09:00 |
| Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 16:00 |