Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Persebaya Surabaya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Persebaya SurabayaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Indonesia Super League (id). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Persebaya Surabaya showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Persebaya Surabaya is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Persebaya Surabaya – Persik Kediri Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | PK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | NWS Spirit FC - St George Saints | 1.72 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Njardvik - Grindavik | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Argentina - Switzerland | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci | 1.64 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Dundalk - Drogheda United | 1.64 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| FC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 14 Jul 18:00 |