Model: TIPPSH

NWS Spirit FC vs St George Saints

PREDICTION

@ 1.72

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 11, 2026 11:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 58m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 41m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NWS Spirit FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NWS Spirit FC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.66First seen

Current1.72Now

Max odds1.74Highest point

Min odds1.66Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NWS Spirit FCHOME

St George SaintsAWAY

DWLWL

Recent form

LLLWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.80

Shots on target for

5.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

6.60

Home splitW-W-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.89% based on n=63 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.72

V2 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63

V4 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors NWS Spirit FC, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. NWS Spirit FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 122.3% 7D: 6.2% 15D: 36.1% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

NWS Spirit FC – St George Saints Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.89% and -9.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample195

Win Rate57.9%

Profit-5.46u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Njardvik - Grindavik	1.62	-7.35%
LOSS	Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1.62	-9.21%
WIN	Ferro Carril Oeste - CA San Telmo	1.67	-7.35%
LOSS	CA Atlas Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves	1.75	-9.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC	1	1.63	-7.35%	05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia	1	1.70	-9.21%	07 Jun 18:00
PK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz	1	1.68	-9.21%	11 Jul 15:00
Argentina - Switzerland	1	1.71	-7.35%	12 Jul 03:00
FC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn	1	1.68	-7.35%	14 Jul 18:00

Pick

1 @ 1.72

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 11:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.89% • n=63

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-9.89% • n=63

Start

Starts in 58m

Updated

Updated 10h 41m ago