Model: TIPPSH
FF Jaro – IFK Mariehamn
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 3d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FF Jaro | IFK Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-L | L-D-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-L (home) | L-D-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 4.80 against | 3.00 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.25 against (home) | 2.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FF Jaro is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current1.94Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FF Jaro – IFK Mariehamn Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample66
Win Rate45.5%
Profit-7.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Boys Reserves - Ferrocarril Midland Reserves | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 27 May 16:00 |
| Molde U19 - Kristiansund BK U19 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 27 May 18:30 |
| Belgrano Reserves - Quilmes Reserves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 27 May 20:00 |
| FC Champagne Sport - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy II | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 27 May 20:00 |
| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.94
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 3d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 22h ago