Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy

Model: TIPPSA

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 3:35 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 7d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 5h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Dalian Young Boy
Last 5 form D-L-L-D-L D-L-L-L-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.00
Avg goals conceded 1.40 2.00
Home/Away form D-L-W-L-L (home) D-L-L-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded 1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Shots on target 2.80 for / 5.20 against 4.80 for / 4.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.00 for / 4.00 against (home) 4.60 for / 4.80 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Dalian Young Boy has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.64First seen
Current2.81Now
Max odds3.01Highest point
Min odds2.58Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample56
Win Rate39.3%
Profit+2.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCadiz - Leganes2.864.96%
WINHelsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC2.634.13%
WINAlmagro - San Martin SJ2.624.44%
WINPolonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw2.573.31%
LOSSB93 Copenhagen - AaB2.564.44%
WINWarta Gorzow - Zaglebie Lubin II2.633.31%
WINBradford - Bolton2.743.31%
LOSSMaccabi Netanya - Hapoel Haifa2.613.31%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.81
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 3:35 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 7d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 5h ago
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