Model: TIPPSA

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Dalian Young Boy

PREDICTION

@ 2.73

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 3:35 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 54d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dalian Young Boy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dalian Young Boy

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.64First seen

Current2.73Now

Max odds3.01Highest point

Min odds2.58Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shenzhen XinpengchengHOME

Dalian Young BoyAWAY

DLLDL

Recent form

DLLLW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.00

Shots on target for

2.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

4.80

Home splitD-L-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.73. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.73

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Dalian Young Boy. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Dalian Young Boy is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -1.5% 7D: 20.7% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample93

Win Rate37.6%

Profit-0.95u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fencibles United - East Coast Bays	2.81	4.96%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
LOSS	Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers	2.92	4.96%
WIN	New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)	2.86	4.96%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota	2.56	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.73

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 3:35 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214

Start

Started 54d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 13h ago