Model: TIPPSH
Urena SC – Atletico Barinas
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 6d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Urena SC | Atletico Barinas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-D (home) | L-D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.75 scored / 2.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 2.20 against | 2.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Urena SC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.81Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Urena SC – Atletico Barinas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-10.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | All Boys Reserves - Ferrocarril Midland Reserves | 1.78 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde U19 - Kristiansund BK U19 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 27 May 18:30 |
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| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
| Louisville City FC - Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 31 May 01:00 |
| Ceara - Operario PR | 1 | 1.97 | 1.31% | 31 May 21:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.81
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 6d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 22h ago