Louisville City FC – Tampa Bay Rowdies

Model: TIPPSH

Louisville City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 41d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 41d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Louisville City FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Louisville City FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.92First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Louisville City FCHOME
VS
Tampa Bay RowdiesAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WWWWD
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.40
Shots on target for
6.40
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.80
Home splitL-L-W-W-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-D-D1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Louisville City FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 8.2% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 25.8% 30D: 6.9%
Model insight

Louisville City FC – Tampa Bay Rowdies Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample335
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-23.36u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINSlovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk1.961.31%
WINEC Juventude - Vila Nova1.841.04%
LOSSDeportivo Maldonado - Albion FC2.101.04%
LOSSCheonan City - Gimhae FC 20082.191.31%
WINAmerica RJ - Serrano2.151.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 41d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 41d 10h ago
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