Acao (W) – Sport Recife (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Acao (W) vs Sport Recife (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.31
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 50d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sport Recife (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sport Recife (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.31Now
Max odds2.47Highest point
Min odds2.31Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Acao (W)HOME
VS
Sport Recife (W)AWAY
WDWWW
Recent form
LLWDD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
3.40
10.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
4.60
Home splitW-W-W2.00 scored / 0.33 conceded
Away splitL-D-L0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.31. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A2 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.31
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sport Recife (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 36.7% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 13.7% 30D: 4.4%
Model insight

Acao (W) – Sport Recife (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample82
Win Rate46.3%
Profit+3.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.31
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 50d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 2h ago
Torna in alto