Model: TipTromba45H

University NSW vs Sydney United 58

PREDICTION

@ 4.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 8:15 AM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 50d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is University NSW. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: University NSW

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.25First seen

Current4.63Now

Max odds4.63Highest point

Min odds4.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

University NSWHOME

Sydney United 58AWAY

WWLDL

Recent form

LWWLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

4.80

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.00

Home splitW-W-D-W-D1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.19% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.33

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 13.2% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 15.3% 30D: 1.6%

Model insight

University NSW – Sydney United 58 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.19% and 4.19%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample11

Win Rate27.3%

Profit+1.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sandhausen - Kaiserslautern	4.20	2.97%
LOSS	Kelty Hearts - Dunfermline	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	Americano MA - Tupan MA	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	Gremio Desportivo Valparaiso U20 - Real Brasilia U20	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	America RJ - XV Piracicaba	4.10	2.97%
LOSS	Mayfield United - Midleton FC	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	Itapirense U20 - Ferroviaria SP U20	4.33	4.19%
WIN	Altona Magic U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23	4.20	4.86%

Pick

1 @ 4.33

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 8:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.19% • n=77

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.19% • n=77

Start

Started 50d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 18h ago