Model: TIPPSH
FC Volendam – Willem II
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 3d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Volendam | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-D-L | W-L-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-D (home) | W-W-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.40 scored / 0.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 2.80 against | 5.00 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.33 for / 2.33 against (home) | 5.75 for / 1.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.42First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FC Volendam – Willem II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample107
Win Rate40.2%
Profit-14.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 3d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 4d ago