Model: TIPPSH

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto

PREDICTION

@ 2.36

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 73d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 74d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Renofa Yamaguchi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Renofa YamaguchiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.32First seen

Current2.36Now

Max odds2.36Highest point

Min odds2.32Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Renofa YamaguchiHOME

Roasso KumamotoAWAY

DDLWL

Recent form

DLLWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

4.40

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.60

Home splitD-L-W-W1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.36. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.36

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Renofa Yamaguchi has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 34.1% 7D: 26.6% 15D: 21.1% 30D: 5.5%

Model insight

Renofa Yamaguchi – Roasso Kumamoto Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample239

Win Rate43.1%

Profit-3.02u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC	2.19	1.04%
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LOSS	FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
WIN	Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves	2.41	1.59%
WIN	Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W)	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF	2.11	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.36

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 73d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 74d 17h ago