KS Mszczonowianka – Wilga Garwolin

Model: TIPPSH

KS Mszczonowianka vs Wilga Garwolin

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 75d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 75d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KS Mszczonowianka. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KS MszczonowiankaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.41Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KS MszczonowiankaHOME
VS
Wilga GarwolinAWAY
DLDL
Recent form
D
Avg goals scored
1.25
3.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
3.00
Shots on target for
4.75
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.50
8.00
Home splitD3.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitD3.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.38
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 38.0% 7D: 26.2% 15D: 20.2% 30D: 5.7%
Model insight

KS Mszczonowianka – Wilga Garwolin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate42.8%
Profit-1.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRespublika FA - Gazalkent2.322.49%
WINGold Coast Knights (W) - Brisbane City (W)2.203.37%
LOSSClub America U21 - Santos Laguna U212.302.49%
LOSSLuton - Go Ahead Eagles2.252.49%
WINHB Torshavn - NSI Runavik2.552.49%
WINKerry FC - Cobh Ramblers2.472.49%
LOSSConnah's Quay - Caernarfon Town2.352.49%
WINROW 1964 Rybnik - Warta Gorzow2.282.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Estrella del Sur Reserves - CA Lugano Reserves12.422.49%06 Aug 18:00
Alianza Atletico - Cienciano12.352.49%06 Aug 22:00
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Rapid Bucuresti12.552.49%07 Aug 20:00
Ljungskile - IK Oddevold12.562.49%08 Aug 13:00
East Fife - Cove Rangers12.302.49%08 Aug 16:00
MSK Zilina B - FK Pohronie12.312.49%09 Aug 10:30
Avia Swidnik - Sandecja Nowy Sacz12.613.15%09 Aug 14:30
CFR Cluj - Universitatea Cluj12.302.49%10 Aug 20:30
Pick
1 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 75d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 75d 20h ago
Torna in alto