Model: TIPPSA
LDU Portoviejo – Vinotinto Ecuador
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 3d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | LDU Portoviejo | Vinotinto Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-D-L | L-W-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-W-D (home) | L-D-W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 3.60 against | 4.80 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.60 for / 1.80 against (home) | 2.20 for / 1.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Vinotinto Ecuador. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Vinotinto Ecuador is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current3.01Now
Max odds3.01Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
LDU Portoviejo – Vinotinto Ecuador Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-1.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Cuenca - Tecnico Universitario | 3.25 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Huesca - Real Zaragoza | 3.15 | 2.92% |
| WIN | Finn Harps - Athlone Town | 3.19 | 2.92% |
| LOSS | Solomon Kings FC - Vanuatu United | 2.80 | 2.92% |
| WIN | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MSK Zilina | 2.84 | 2.92% |
| LOSS | Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United | 2.90 | 2.92% |
Pick
2 @ 3.01
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 3d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 10h ago