LDU Portoviejo – Vinotinto Ecuador

Model: TIPPSA

LDU Portoviejo – Vinotinto Ecuador

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 3d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 10h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric LDU Portoviejo Vinotinto Ecuador
Last 5 form W-D-D-D-L L-W-D-D-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.00
Home/Away form W-D-D-W-D (home) L-D-W-W-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded 1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Shots on target 2.40 for / 3.60 against 4.80 for / 2.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.60 for / 1.80 against (home) 2.20 for / 1.60 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Vinotinto Ecuador. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Vinotinto Ecuador is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current3.01Now
Max odds3.01Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

LDU Portoviejo – Vinotinto Ecuador Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-1.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCadiz - Leganes2.864.96%
LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy2.884.96%
LOSSDeportivo Cuenca - Tecnico Universitario3.252.94%
LOSSHuesca - Real Zaragoza3.152.92%
WINFinn Harps - Athlone Town3.192.92%
LOSSSolomon Kings FC - Vanuatu United2.802.92%
WINFK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MSK Zilina2.842.92%
LOSSNewcastle Jets - Adelaide United2.902.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.01
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 3d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 10h ago
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