Sao Goncalo – Cabofriense

Model: TIPPSH

Sao Goncalo vs Cabofriense

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 49d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.58% · n=51
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sao Goncalo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sao Goncalo

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds2.78Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao GoncaloHOME
VS
CabofrienseAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WDDLW
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.20
Home splitL-L-L0.33 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitW-D-L1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandNONEROI -2.58% · n=51
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Sao Goncalo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 57.7% 7D: 42.6% 15D: 25.1% 30D: 9.7%
Model insight

Sao Goncalo – Cabofriense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.58% across 51 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate41.7%
Profit+4.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINSan Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2.894.53%
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WINAngel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)2.522.49%
LOSSVikingur Gota - NSI Runavik2.762.04%
WINDelaware FC - Real Central NJ2.804.53%
LOSSFC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City2.994.53%
WINIF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W)2.552.49%
Pick
1 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.58% • n=51
Start
Started 49d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 14h ago
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