Model: TIPPSA

Tabor Sezana vs NK Rudar Velenje

PREDICTION

@ 2.99

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 0

StartStarted 49d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Rudar Velenje. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK Rudar Velenje

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.23First seen

Current3.15Now

Max odds3.23Highest point

Min odds3.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tabor SezanaHOME

NK Rudar VelenjeAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

LDLWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.60

Shots on target for

2.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

3.00

Home splitW-L-L-L0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.99. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia 2. SNL (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.99

V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to NK Rudar Velenje's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 34.2% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 23.0% 30D: 8.6%

Model insight

Tabor Sezana – NK Rudar Velenje Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample67

Win Rate40.3%

Profit+13.46u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB	3.10	-1.07%
WIN	AC Boise - One Knoxville SC	2.84	-1.07%
WIN	FC Haka - KTP	2.97	-1.07%
LOSS	Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik	2.93	-1.07%
LOSS	Avai - Cuiaba	3.20	-1.07%
WIN	Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude	3.22	-1.07%
WIN	Bahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha	2.82	-1.07%
LOSS	Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	3.02	-1.07%

Pick

2 @ 2.99

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461

Start

Started 49d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 9h ago